Map sequential outcomes with probabilities and expected values.
The core idea
Map sequential outcomes with probabilities and expected values.
Connected
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Determine what kind of decision you're facing — no-brainer, apples-vs-oranges, b
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Match your response to the domain: simple, complicated, complex, or chaotic.
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One-way vs two-way doors — calibrate how much analysis a choice deserves.
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Restate the problem from a different angle to be sure you're solving the right o
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Move up (why?) or down (how?) to find the right altitude for a problem.
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Map internal strengths/weaknesses against external opportunities/threats.