A hypothesis is a testable claim about the world. Not a wish, not a vision — a proposition that can be disproved by evidence. "If we cut price 10%, volume will rise at least 15%."...
The core idea
A hypothesis is a testable claim about the world. Not a wish, not a vision — a proposition that can be disproved by evidence. "If we cut price 10%, volume will rise at least 15%."...
Connected
Mental Model
Mental Model5 Whys
why five times to find the systemic root cause.
Mental Model
Mental ModelAll Models Are Wrong
model simplifies reality; the question is whether it is useful.
Mental Model
Mental ModelAmara's Law
technology short-term, underestimate it long-term.
Mental Model
Mental ModelEisenhower Decision Matrix
tasks by urgency and importance to focus on what truly matters.
Mental Model
Mental ModelFirst Principles Thinking
a problem to its fundamental truths and reason up from there — the antidote to r
Mental Model
Mental ModelGoodhart's Law
a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.