is the condition of incomplete knowledge about the current state, future outcomes, or causal relationships within a system. Unlike risk — which can be quantified with...
The core idea
is the condition of incomplete knowledge about the current state, future outcomes, or causal relationships within a system. Unlike risk — which can be quantified with...
Connected
Mental Model
Mental ModelLollapalooza Effects
multiple cognitive biases or forces act in the same direction simultaneously, th
Mental Model
Mental ModelAntifragility
systems gain from disorder — growing stronger from shocks.
Mental Model
Mental ModelEmergence
wholes arise from simple parts interacting — the whole exceeds the sum.
Mental Model
Mental ModelFeedback Loops
feed back as inputs, creating either amplifying or stabilizing dynamics.
Mental Model
Mental ModelGall's Law
complex systems evolve from working simple systems.
Mental Model
Mental ModelLeverage Donella Meadows
a MeadowsSmall shifts at the right point produce outsized systemic changes.